Team's Offensive Rating?

Hey, really like the tool you have here.



I was wondering there should be a component taking into account the opponent's offensive rating?  Or are you just assuming that the league averages are close enough.



For instance, with the Sixers and Ben Simmons.



The Sixers' offensive rating is 110.24.  That seems to me to translate to expected points per possession of 1.10.



Simmons shoots 58% from the line.  That makes it 1.16 expected points per possession right?



I guess there's an additional value to just stopping the clock?  and/or teams like the Pelicans with no inside presence can't stop the Sixers in an end-game situation?  And/or end-game offensive ratings tend to be higher than the team's average offensive rating?

And my bracket is up in flames

within a few hours of the tournament starting.  Louisville gets knocked out playing off of the ballhandler and lets him get a clean look at a 3.  And I had Louisville in the final four.  So that blows.

And then today my boss tells me to leave work early to go watch the tournament.  I oblige and go to the finest beer establishment in the area to watch some games.  Someone walks in and asks if the Villanova game is over.  I am about to say yes, when the guy next to me says, "no, it's just halftime."  I ask him what the hell he's talking about, it's definitely over.  He says, "well then it is confusing, because the score says '2nd' next to it.  Why don't they put '4th' for 4th quarter?"  Holy Christ.

So I imbibe a few pints and then realize that I'm supposed to be playing volleyball later in the evening.  So now I'm in a pickle.  I need to leave the bar and go get some coffee to try to sober up a bit, which didn't really work. So I played volleyball half-drunk.

And now I really need to go to sleep so that I can be at full strength for a full day of drinking tomorrow while watching the tourney, followed by a whiskey tasting in the evening, but Syracuse won't finish off Indiana State.  So now I need to stay up in case the Sycamores pull off the upset.  It's rough . . .

So let me aks you this

If someone says to you "Today marks the 100th anniversary of German Socialist Ezra Zetkin calling for the observance of who?" wouldn't that call for a specific person?  And if the answer is "International Woman's Day", would this not be questionable?  Especially when I lose Quizzo by 1 freaking point as a result?!?!  I did let the Quizzomaster know of my displeasure and he may have taken my constructive criticism to heart, but we all know nothing changes.

So I'm coming home for the evening half in the bag (which means god knows what anyway).  This buzz is not as good as it could have been, because the bar was out of of Troeg's Nugget Nectar.  I stop by McDonald's as is my wont on so similar occasions, which have all apparently been before 3, and I try to order the number 3 value meal, double quarter pounder.  The cashier says something that I can't understand, to which I respond "uh, yeah yeah yeah."  Unconvinced, the skeptical cashier repeats "blah blah blah blah breakfast."

"Yeah, yeah, yeah."

On the screen, I see bacon, egg and cheese mcmuffin and a coke.

Uh oh, panic sets in.

I drive around to the first window and say, "hey now, I wanted a double quarter pounder meal."

"We are only serving breakfast now."

"O . . . K . . . that's fine."

Who is eating breakfast at McDonald's at 3 am on a Sunday?

So now I have to eat this goddam McMuffin while I watch the last Tivo'd episode of Traffic Light.  And I have to be up in 6 hours to play flag football!  yikes.